Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 33.046246 37.644708 42.678421 48.601875 55.387469 62.924704 71.941443
2024-12-22 27.257265 33.397377 40.640891 49.833464 61.214440 74.875601 92.568569
2024-12-29 23.683593 30.991049 40.215544 52.755902 69.426484 90.919227 120.882832
2025-01-05 20.162910 28.041266 38.631848 53.985439 75.806535 105.903634 150.906351
2025-01-12 16.717000 24.602353 35.841488 53.146588 79.337956 117.843799 179.388185
2025-01-19 14.168646 21.991959 33.775595 52.985011 83.853682 132.094587 214.309099
2025-01-26 12.656626 20.673889 33.407777 55.343454 92.703452 154.671647 267.140998
2025-02-02 11.496998 19.714323 33.443462 58.377476 103.288610 182.196868 334.449268
2025-02-09 10.184889 18.274155 32.444360 59.490052 110.846236 206.137980 401.040114
2025-02-16 8.785268 16.440197 30.453074 58.468985 114.368504 223.558438 459.557591
2025-02-23 7.641937 14.882250 28.701878 57.581430 118.000723 241.989482 524.637229
2025-03-02 6.708653 13.569403 27.196484 56.904585 121.949420 261.928704 597.912462
2025-03-09 6.026428 12.670770 26.417050 57.717066 129.538402 291.896133 703.060157
2025-03-16 5.374526 11.724535 25.382774 57.804941 135.631485 320.115128 812.233068
2025-03-23 4.976698 11.261248 25.311527 60.079924 147.392190 364.472310 974.741872
2025-03-30 4.502076 10.542550 24.546252 60.583406 155.027121 400.706020 1126.792807
2025-04-06 3.960053 9.572373 23.028962 58.943816 156.892972 422.723207 1246.218765
2025-04-13 3.545338 8.838502 21.952839 58.223327 161.081109 452.111398 1396.541710
2025-04-20 3.325259 8.554705 21.952173 60.382353 173.824946 508.889222 1649.769398
2025-04-27 3.159398 8.382864 22.212816 63.337365 189.649170 578.974862 1969.710247
2025-05-04 2.922867 7.980943 21.789566 64.253758 199.618625 633.895166 2256.948981
2025-05-11 2.628905 7.370185 20.684441 62.919402 202.270061 666.282391 2475.172736
2025-05-18 2.376776 6.835980 19.705996 61.784643 205.365359 701.198561 2715.918306